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REPORT · BTC v6· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 6
v6 · 2026-08-19
ARCHIVED VERSION

Bitcoin $69,335 +7.12%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-19 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Bitcoin closed at $69,335 (+7.12% on the day). Over the last month it is +8.36%, over the last year -24.65%. It sits 29.2% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $64,725 → $69,335 (+7.12% since v5)2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v6 vs v5
  • · $64,725 → $69,335 (+7.12% since v5)
  • · crossed ABOVE the 200-day average ($69,035)
  • · volatility regime quiet → normal (38th pct)
  • · short-horizon behavior no clear_bias → momentum
  • · market trend vote mixed → both-above
02Technicals

Bitcoin closed at $69,335 (+7.12% on the day). Over the last month it is +8.36%, over the last year -24.65%. It sits 29.2% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($69,035) and above the 50-day ($64,026) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.16, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 27.25% annualized, the 38th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $57,800 – $78,080; the most-touched level is $64,095 (42 touches).

1W
+9.98%
1M
+8.36%
1Y
-24.65%
FROM 52W HIGH
-29.2%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 39.53% (2026-01-14 → 2026-06-30); price now sits 28.49% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.02% (2026-02-05).

MAX DD 1Y
-39.53%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-28.49%
BEST DAY
+12.19%
WORST DAY
-14.02%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 47% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 1.07 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 45.06% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 62 (Greed), 7-day average 40.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+8.36%) runs against the 1-year trend (-24.65%).

Trading 29.2% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $69,035.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 38th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$69,335+7.12%CONSTRUCTIVE