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REPORT · BTC v5· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-18
ARCHIVED VERSION

Bitcoin $64,725 +0.3%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-18 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Bitcoin closed at $64,725 (+0.3% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.27%, over the last year -30.16%. It sits 33.9% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

Bitcoin closed at $64,725 (+0.3% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.27%, over the last year -30.16%. It sits 33.9% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($69,082) and above the 50-day ($63,812) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.21, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 19% annualized, the 3th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $57,800 – $78,200; the most-touched level is $64,094 (41 touches).

1W
+1.94%
1M
+1.27%
1Y
-30.16%
FROM 52W HIGH
-33.9%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 39.53% (2026-01-14 → 2026-06-30); price now sits 33.24% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.02% (2026-02-05).

MAX DD 1Y
-39.53%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-33.24%
BEST DAY
+12.19%
WORST DAY
-14.02%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 47% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.07 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 48.71% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 46 (Fear), 7-day average 35.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

The 1-month move (+1.27%) runs against the 1-year trend (-30.16%).

Trading 33.9% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $69,082.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 3th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$64,725+0.3%MIXED