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how the read evolved · 7 versions · 2026-08-142026-08-20
REPORT · BTC v7
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 7
v7 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

Bitcoin $73,025 +5.32%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

Bitcoin closed at $73,025 (+5.32% on the day). Over the last month it is +12.73%, over the last year -21.07%. It sits 25.43% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $69,335 → $73,025 (+5.32% since v6)2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v7 vs v6
  • · $69,335 → $73,025 (+5.32% since v6)
02Technicals

Bitcoin closed at $73,025 (+5.32% on the day). Over the last month it is +12.73%, over the last year -21.07%. It sits 25.43% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($69,015) and above the 50-day ($64,287) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.1, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 30.36% annualized, the 49th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $57,800 – $78,080; the most-touched level is $64,095 (42 touches).

1W
+15.75%
1M
+12.73%
1Y
-21.07%
FROM 52W HIGH
-25.43%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 39.53% (2026-01-14 → 2026-06-30); price now sits 24.68% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.02% (2026-02-05).

MAX DD 1Y
-39.53%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-24.68%
BEST DAY
+12.19%
WORST DAY
-14.02%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 48% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 2.01 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 42.14% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 72 (Greed), 7-day average 46.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+12.73%) runs against the 1-year trend (-21.07%).

Trading 25.43% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $69,015.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 49th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$73,025+5.32%CONSTRUCTIVE