Bitcoin $63,061 -0.04%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-16 · computed, sourced, never predicted

00Executive summary

Bitcoin closed at $63,061 (-0.04% on the day). Over the last month it is -3.58%, over the last year -30.24%. It sits 35.6% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 06

01What changed — v3 vs v2

· first committed version — nothing to diff against yet

02Technicals

Bitcoin closed at $63,061 (-0.04% on the day). Over the last month it is -3.58%, over the last year -30.24%. It sits 35.6% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($69,281) and below the 50-day ($63,627) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.27, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 17.91% annualized, the 0th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $57,800 – $78,200; the most-touched level is $64,095 (40 touches).

-0.85%

-3.58%

-30.24%

FROM 52W HIGH

-35.6%

03Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 46% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.49 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 50.03% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 34 (Fear), 7-day average 30.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

04Consensus read

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-3.58%) agrees with the 1-year trend (-30.24%).

Trading 35.6% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

05In the air — headlines, not causes

· Strategy (MSTR) Could Be Dropped From Global Indexes In Bitcoin Treasury Review — finance.yahoo.com · 1h ago
· Strategy CEO Phong Le Thinks MSTR Stock Will Outperform Bitcoin During the Next Bull Market. Here's Why He's Wrong. — fool.com · 2h ago
· Bitcoin Miner Riot Platforms Just Signed a $9 Billion Compute Deal With Anthropic. Why AI Is Now the Key to Valuing Bitcoin Mining Stocks. — fool.com · 3h ago
· Morgan Stanley’s Bigger Crypto ETF Bet Might Change The Case For Investing In Morgan Stanley (MS) — finance.yahoo.com · 3h ago
· This Asset Class Will Become the Next Crypto, Says Billionaire Mark Cuban — beincrypto.com · 4h ago
· Bitcoin price trades above $63,000 as Saylor calls it ‘digital monetary energy’ — finance.yahoo.com · 4h ago
· MicroStrategy vs. Bitcoin: Who Won the 1-Year Performance Duel? — beincrypto.com · 4h ago
· Where Will Bitcoin Be in 5 Years? — fool.com · 4h ago
· Millionaires Soon Won’t Be Able to Afford 1 Bitcoin, Says Binance Founder CZ — beincrypto.com · 5h ago
· Why Bitcoin is Falling Despite US Stocks Hitting Record Highs — finance.yahoo.com · 7h ago

06What would change this read

· The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $69,281.
· The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 0th percentile).
· nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data