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REPORT · BTC v2· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 2
v2 · 2026-08-15
ARCHIVED VERSION

Bitcoin $63,136 +0.15%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-15 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Bitcoin closed at $63,136 (+0.15% on the day). Over the last month it is -1.93%, over the last year -29.25%. It sits 35.53% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

latest change — $63,011 → $63,136 (+0.2% since v1)2 invalidation conditions stated — section 06
01What changed — v2 vs v1
  • · $63,011 → $63,136 (+0.2% since v1)
02Technicals

Bitcoin closed at $63,136 (+0.15% on the day). Over the last month it is -1.93%, over the last year -29.25%. It sits 35.53% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($69,412) and below the 50-day ($63,567) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.29, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 17.92% annualized, the 0th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $57,800 – $78,200; the most-touched level is $64,095 (40 touches).

1W
-1.3%
1M
-1.93%
1Y
-29.25%
FROM 52W HIGH
-35.53%
03Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 46% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 0.49 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 49.97% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 34 (Fear), 7-day average 30.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

04Consensus read

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-1.93%) agrees with the 1-year trend (-29.25%).

Trading 35.53% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

05In the air — headlines, not causes
  • · Why the world’s second-largest Bitcoin mining power is shutting down rigs in its capital city CoinDesk · 8h ago
  • · Bitcoin And Crypto Suddenly Braced For A White House Price Game-Changer Forbes · 10h ago
  • · Jim Cramer Is Selling His Bitcoin, Citing the Quantum Threat. Here's Why He's Wrong. Yahoo Finance · 7h ago
  • · Skip the Bitcoin: Folsom residents surveyed want East Bidwell, Hwy. 50 traffic fixed Sacramento Bee · 33h ago
  • · Bring Bitcoin mining to your desktop for just $49.99 mashable.com · 49h ago
06What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $69,412.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 0th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$63,136+0.15%NEGATIVE