US 10Y Treasury yield 4.72% +0.85%
US 10Y Treasury yield closed at 4.72% (+0.85% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.74%, over the last year +11.32%. It sits 0.63% below the 52-week high of 4.75% (52-week low 3.97%).
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
- · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
US 10Y Treasury yield closed at 4.72% (+0.85% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.74%, over the last year +11.32%. It sits 0.63% below the 52-week high of 4.75% (52-week low 3.97%).
Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (4.32%) and above the 50-day (4.57%) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.72, direction up.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 14.57% annualized, the 33th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans mean reverting.
Structure (90 days): range 4.26% – 4.75%; the most-touched level is 4.47% (30 touches).
Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 8.53% (2025-08-18 → 2025-10-22); price now sits 0.63% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -2.2% (2026-06-11).
The tape leans constructive: 48% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior mean reverting.
Positioning: 1.7 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 1.46% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
The 1-month move (+3.74%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+11.32%).
Trading within 0.63% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
- · 30-year Treasury yield tops 5.33%, new 19-year high, on inflation and spending concerns — CNBC · 16h ago
- · Bond yields are climbing. Here’s what that means for mortgages and other consumer borrowing — CNBC · 7h ago
- · U.S. government debt yields are surging at a bad time. Here's what's behind the move — CNBC · 7h ago
- · Global bond yields hit multi-decade highs as governments pay the price for U.S.-Iran stalemate — CNBC · 14h ago
- · The 30-year Treasury yield just hit a 19-year high. Three things could drive it even higher — CNBC · 18h ago
- · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 4.32%.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 33th percentile).
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data