US 10Y Treasury yield 4.65% -1.27%
US 10Y Treasury yield closed at 4.65% (-1.27% on the day). Over the last month it is +0.43%, over the last year +7.39%. It sits 2.11% below the 52-week high of 4.75% (52-week low 3.97%).
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
- · 4.71% → 4.65% (-1.27% since v5)
- · volatility regime quiet → normal (31th pct)
US 10Y Treasury yield closed at 4.65% (-1.27% on the day). Over the last month it is +0.43%, over the last year +7.39%. It sits 2.11% below the 52-week high of 4.75% (52-week low 3.97%).
Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (4.33%) and above the 50-day (4.58%) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.71, direction sideways.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 14.57% annualized, the 31th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans mean reverting.
Structure (90 days): range 4.26% – 4.75%; the most-touched level is 4.47% (30 touches).
Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 8.53% (2025-08-18 → 2025-10-22); price now sits 2.11% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -2.2% (2026-06-11).
The tape leans neutral: 47% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior mean reverting.
Positioning: 1.09 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 2.92% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
The 1-month move (+0.43%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+7.39%).
Trading within 2.11% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
- · Treasury yields rebound, wiping out the decline following Bessent's intervention — CNBC · 15h ago
- · Bond yields fall after Treasury announces surprise move to ease rising rates — NBC News · 28h ago
- · US 10-Year Treasury Yield Will Top 5% This Year, Survey Shows — Bloomberg.com · 34h ago
- · US 30-year yields hit highest level since 2007 as war, oil worries fester — Reuters · 60h ago
- · U.S. government debt yields are surging at a bad time. Here's what's behind the move — CNBC · 55h ago
- · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 4.33%.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 31th percentile).
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data