US 2Y Treasury yield 4.19% +0.48%
US 2Y Treasury yield closed at 4.19% (+0.48% on the day). Over the last month it is +0.24%, over the last year +14.17%. It sits 4.12% below the 52-week high of 4.37% (52-week low 3.38%).
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
- · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
US 2Y Treasury yield closed at 4.19% (+0.48% on the day). Over the last month it is +0.24%, over the last year +14.17%. It sits 4.12% below the 52-week high of 4.37% (52-week low 3.38%).
Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (3.8%) and above the 50-day (4.19%) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.81, direction sideways.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 16.84% annualized, the 18th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans mean reverting.
Structure (90 days): range 3.71% – 4.37%; the most-touched level is 4.14% (26 touches).
Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 10.82% (2025-08-21 → 2026-02-27); price now sits 4.12% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -3.22% (2025-08-26).
The tape leans neutral: 47% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior mean reverting.
Positioning: 0.75 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 4.77% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
The 1-month move (+0.24%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+14.17%).
Trading within 4.12% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
- · 30-year Treasury yield tops 5.31%, the highest in 19 years — CNBC · 40h ago
- · Treasury Yields Snapshot: August 14, 2026 — Advisor Perspectives · 113h ago
- · 30-year Treasury yield tops 5.33%, new 19-year high, on inflation and spending concerns — CNBC · 16h ago
- · U.S. Treasury Yields Surge Despite Fed's Rate Freeze — chosun.com · 18h ago
- · Why Are Investors Divided Over the Path of Treasury Yields? — CME Group · 1145h ago
- · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 3.8%.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 18th percentile).
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data