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REPORT · TSLA v3· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 3
v3 · 2026-08-18
ARCHIVED VERSION

Tesla $336.87 -0.72%

stock · data as of 2026-08-18 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Tesla closed at $336.87 (-0.72% on the day). Over the last month it is -8.85%, over the last year +1.91%. It sits 31.23% below the 52-week high of $489.88 (52-week low $298.32).

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v3 vs v2
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

Tesla closed at $336.87 (-0.72% on the day). Over the last month it is -8.85%, over the last year +1.91%. It sits 31.23% below the 52-week high of $489.88 (52-week low $298.32).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($404.85) and below the 50-day ($368.42) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.31, direction down.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 54.89% annualized, the 56th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $298.32 – $445.27; the most-touched level is $392.36 (22 touches).

1W
+1.22%
1M
-8.85%
1Y
+1.91%
FROM 52W HIGH
-31.23%
03Relative performance

Relative: lagged the S&P 500 by 12.19% over the last month (-17.35% over the year); 90-day beta 2.77, correlation 0.68.

1M VS S&P 500
-12.19%
1Y RELATIVE
-17.35%
BETA 90D
2.77
CORR 90D
0.68
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 39.1% (2025-12-16 → 2026-07-29); price now sits 31.23% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.52% (2026-07-23).

MAX DD 1Y
-39.1%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-31.23%
BEST DAY
+8.46%
WORST DAY
-14.52%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $94.83B (-2.93% YoY), net income $3.79B (4% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 311.92. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-23 (26 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-01-28 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$94.83B
REVENUE YOY
-2.93%
NET INCOME
$3.79B
NET MARGIN
4%
EPS (DILUTED)
$1.08
TRAILING P/E
311.92

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-23 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-01-28

06Sentiment

The tape leans defensive: 52% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction down, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.26 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 31.23% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-8.85%) runs against the 1-year trend (+1.91%).

Trading 31.23% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $404.85.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 56th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now -12.19%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 26 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$336.87-0.72%NEGATIVE