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PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

Tesla $345.04 -1.73%

stock · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Tesla closed at $345.04 (-1.73% on the day). Over the last month it is -7.75%, over the last year +4.78%. It sits 29.57% below the 52-week high of $489.88 (52-week low $298.32).

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

latest change — $351.12 → $345.04 (-1.73% since v4)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · $351.12 → $345.04 (-1.73% since v4)
  • · trailing P/E 325.11 → 319.48
02Technicals

Tesla closed at $345.04 (-1.73% on the day). Over the last month it is -7.75%, over the last year +4.78%. It sits 29.57% below the 52-week high of $489.88 (52-week low $298.32).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($403.85) and below the 50-day ($366.23) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.39, direction down.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 55.45% annualized, the 62th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $298.32 – $445.27; the most-touched level is $392.36 (22 touches).

1W
+1.49%
1M
-7.75%
1Y
+4.78%
FROM 52W HIGH
-29.57%
03Relative performance

Relative: lagged the S&P 500 by 9.99% over the last month (-14.76% over the year); 90-day beta 2.78, correlation 0.67.

1M VS S&P 500
-9.99%
1Y RELATIVE
-14.76%
BETA 90D
2.78
CORR 90D
0.67
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 39.1% (2025-12-16 → 2026-07-29); price now sits 29.57% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.52% (2026-07-23).

MAX DD 1Y
-39.1%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-29.57%
BEST DAY
+8.46%
WORST DAY
-14.52%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $94.83B (-2.93% YoY), net income $3.79B (4% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 319.48. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-23 (28 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-01-28 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$94.83B
REVENUE YOY
-2.93%
NET INCOME
$3.79B
NET MARGIN
4%
EPS (DILUTED)
$1.08
TRAILING P/E
319.48

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-23 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-01-28

06Sentiment

The tape leans defensive: 51% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction down, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.04 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 29.57% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-7.75%) runs against the 1-year trend (+4.78%).

Trading 29.57% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
  • · Tesla (TSLA) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know — Yahoo Finance · 17h ago
  • · Tesla Stock Shares Part Of The Market’s Direction And Amplifies All Of It — Trefis · 2h ago
  • · Tesla (TSLA) Analyst Ratings, Stock Forecast and Price Target — Moomoo · 27h ago
  • · Tesla (TSLA) Stock Looks Expensive Given Its Current Sales Premium — simplywall.st · 57h ago
  • · Tesla (TSLA) Stock Looks Expensive Given Its Current Sales Premium — Sahm · 32h ago
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $403.85.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 62th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now -9.99%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 28 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
SOURCES — VERIFY US
  • · EOD prices (Tiingo / Yahoo Finance / Alpha Vantage) — TSLA ↗
  • · SEC EDGAR company facts (XBRL) — primary-source filings ↗
  • · Google News — headlines, timestamped ↗
prepared by the PakupAI reports engine · generated 2026-08-20 16:27 UTC · pakupai.vercel.app/r/tsla · every number is computed, every read carries the condition that would change it