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REPORT · SPX v3· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 3
v3 · 2026-08-17
ARCHIVED VERSION

S&P 500 7745.06 -0.52%

index · data as of 2026-08-17 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

S&P 500 closed at 7745.06 (-0.52% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.85%, over the last year +19.73%. It sits 0.69% below the 52-week high of 7798.99 (52-week low 6343.72).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v3 vs v2
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

S&P 500 closed at 7745.06 (-0.52% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.85%, over the last year +19.73%. It sits 0.69% below the 52-week high of 7798.99 (52-week low 6343.72).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (7079.17) and above the 50-day (7515.6) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.64, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 12.16% annualized, the 41th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range 6782.81 – 7798.99; the most-touched level is 7383.59 (42 touches).

1W
-0.1%
1M
+3.85%
1Y
+19.73%
FROM 52W HIGH
-0.69%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 9.1% (2026-01-27 → 2026-03-30); price now sits 0.69% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -2.71% (2025-10-10).

MAX DD 1Y
-9.1%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-0.69%
BEST DAY
+2.91%
WORST DAY
-2.71%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 57% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.57 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 0.69% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+3.85%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+19.73%).

Trading within 0.69% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 7079.17.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 41th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
7745.06-0.52%CONSTRUCTIVE