PAKUP·AIdownload ⇩▶ studio
compare
how the read evolved · 6 versions · 2026-08-132026-08-20
REPORT · SPX v6
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 6
v6 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

S&P 500 7641.16 -0.87%

index · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

S&P 500 closed at 7641.16 (-0.87% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.9%, over the last year +19.18%. It sits 2.02% below the 52-week high of 7798.99 (52-week low 6343.72).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — 7707.98 → 7641.16 (-0.87% since v5)2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v6 vs v5
  • · 7707.98 → 7641.16 (-0.87% since v5)
02Technicals

S&P 500 closed at 7641.16 (-0.87% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.9%, over the last year +19.18%. It sits 2.02% below the 52-week high of 7798.99 (52-week low 6343.72).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (7091.61) and above the 50-day (7532.9) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.64, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 12.35% annualized, the 38th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range 6886.24 – 7798.99; the most-touched level is 7383.59 (42 touches).

1W
-2.02%
1M
+1.9%
1Y
+19.18%
FROM 52W HIGH
-2.02%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 9.1% (2026-01-27 → 2026-03-30); price now sits 2.02% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -2.71% (2025-10-10).

MAX DD 1Y
-9.1%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-2.02%
BEST DAY
+2.91%
WORST DAY
-2.71%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 56% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.06 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 2.02% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+1.9%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+19.18%).

Trading within 2.02% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 7091.61.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 38th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
7641.16-0.87%CONSTRUCTIVE