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REPORT · META v3· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 3
v3 · 2026-08-18
ARCHIVED VERSION

Meta $543.67 -4.45%

stock · data as of 2026-08-18 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Meta closed at $543.67 (-4.45% on the day). Over the last month it is -15.82%, over the last year -30.54%. It sits 30.54% below the 52-week high of $782.66 (52-week low $525.23).

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v3 vs v2
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

Meta closed at $543.67 (-4.45% on the day). Over the last month it is -15.82%, over the last year -30.54%. It sits 30.54% below the 52-week high of $782.66 (52-week low $525.23).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($624.89) and below the 50-day ($594.92) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.24, direction down.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 47.89% annualized, the 85th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $539.03 – $687.91; the most-touched level is $610.99 (24 touches).

1W
-9.26%
1M
-15.82%
1Y
-30.54%
FROM 52W HIGH
-30.54%
03Relative performance

Relative: lagged the S&P 500 by 19.16% over the last month (-49.8% over the year); 90-day beta 1.12, correlation 0.32.

1M VS S&P 500
-19.16%
1Y RELATIVE
-49.8%
BETA 90D
1.12
CORR 90D
0.32
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 32.89% (2025-08-15 → 2026-03-27); price now sits 30.54% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -11.33% (2025-10-30).

MAX DD 1Y
-32.89%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-30.54%
BEST DAY
+10.4%
WORST DAY
-11.33%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $200.97B (+22.17% YoY), net income $60.46B (30.08% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 23.14. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-30 (19 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-01-28 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$200.97B
REVENUE YOY
+22.17%
NET INCOME
$60.46B
NET MARGIN
30.08%
EPS (DILUTED)
$23.49
TRAILING P/E
23.14

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-30 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-01-28

06Sentiment

The tape leans defensive: 49% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction down, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.83 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 30.96% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-15.82%) agrees with the 1-year trend (-30.54%).

Trading 30.54% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $624.89.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 85th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now -19.16%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 19 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$543.67-4.45%NEGATIVE