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how the read evolved · 5 versions · 2026-08-142026-08-20
REPORT · META v5
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

Meta $545.83 -0.04%

stock · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

Meta closed at $545.83 (-0.04% on the day). Over the last month it is -12.97%, over the last year -27.13%. It sits 29.81% below the 52-week high of $777.7 (52-week low $525.23).

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

latest change — $546.03 → $545.83 (-0.04% since v4)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · $546.03 → $545.83 (-0.04% since v4)
02Technicals

Meta closed at $545.83 (-0.04% on the day). Over the last month it is -12.97%, over the last year -27.13%. It sits 29.81% below the 52-week high of $777.7 (52-week low $525.23).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($623.8) and below the 50-day ($593.38) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.27, direction down.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 45.46% annualized, the 82th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $539.03 – $687.91; the most-touched level is $610.99 (24 touches).

1W
-8.26%
1M
-12.97%
1Y
-27.13%
FROM 52W HIGH
-29.81%
03Relative performance

Relative: lagged the S&P 500 by 14.87% over the last month (-46.31% over the year); 90-day beta 1.1, correlation 0.32.

1M VS S&P 500
-14.87%
1Y RELATIVE
-46.31%
BETA 90D
1.1
CORR 90D
0.32
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 32.46% (2025-09-18 → 2026-03-27); price now sits 29.81% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -11.33% (2025-10-30).

MAX DD 1Y
-32.46%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-29.81%
BEST DAY
+10.4%
WORST DAY
-11.33%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $200.97B (+22.17% YoY), net income $60.46B (30.08% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 23.24. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-30 (21 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-01-28 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$200.97B
REVENUE YOY
+22.17%
NET INCOME
$60.46B
NET MARGIN
30.08%
EPS (DILUTED)
$23.49
TRAILING P/E
23.24

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-30 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-01-28

06Sentiment

The tape leans defensive: 48% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction down, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.67 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 30.68% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-12.97%) agrees with the 1-year trend (-27.13%).

Trading 29.81% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $623.8.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 82th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now -14.87%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 21 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$545.83-0.04%NEGATIVE