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how the read evolved · 5 versions · 2026-08-142026-08-20
REPORT · AMZN v5
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

Amazon $260.11 -2.16%

stock · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

Amazon closed at $260.11 (-2.16% on the day). Over the last month it is +6.23%, over the last year +14.08%. It sits 8.42% below the 52-week high of $284.02 (52-week low $198.79).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $265.84 → $260.11 (-2.16% since v4)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · $265.84 → $260.11 (-2.16% since v4)
  • · short-horizon behavior momentum → no clear_bias
02Technicals

Amazon closed at $260.11 (-2.16% on the day). Over the last month it is +6.23%, over the last year +14.08%. It sits 8.42% below the 52-week high of $284.02 (52-week low $198.79).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($238.3) and above the 50-day ($249.32) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.02, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 51.3% annualized, the 92th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $226.65 – $284.02; the most-touched level is $248.88 (26 touches).

1W
-1.89%
1M
+6.23%
1Y
+14.08%
FROM 52W HIGH
-8.42%
03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 4.33% over the last month (-5.1% over the year); 90-day beta 1.41, correlation 0.47.

1M VS S&P 500
+4.33%
1Y RELATIVE
-5.1%
BETA 90D
1.41
CORR 90D
0.47
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 21.74% (2025-11-03 → 2026-02-13); price now sits 8.42% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -5.55% (2026-02-06).

MAX DD 1Y
-21.74%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-8.42%
BEST DAY
+15.32%
WORST DAY
-5.55%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $716.92B (+12.38% YoY), net income $77.67B (10.83% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 36.28. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-31 (20 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-02-05 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$716.92B
REVENUE YOY
+12.38%
NET INCOME
$77.67B
NET MARGIN
10.83%
EPS (DILUTED)
$7.17
TRAILING P/E
36.28

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-31 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-02-05

06Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 47% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.39 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 8.42% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+6.23%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+14.08%).

Trading 8.42% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $238.3.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 92th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +4.33%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 20 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$260.11-2.16%CONSTRUCTIVE