PAKUP·AI
2026-09-0301the open

5/6 above trend · dollar falling · CPI in 8d · 10y 4.79%

the curve
+0.40 pp 2s10s
the dollar
−1.7% 30d · −0.1% 90d
rates
10y 4.79% · +9 bp 30d
btc vs 200d
$77,340 · +11.2% vs 200d
gold
$4,366 · −1.5% 30d
oil
$91.48 · +6.2% 30d
japan 10y
3.006% · +18 bp 30d
the front
CPI in 8d · 2026-09-11

conditions, computed from our own closes — never a forecast

what landed — 174 sourced events, with the numbers
  • aljazeera news

    Why are people calling Venezuela oil deal a new form of US colonialism?

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Adobe names Anil Chakravarthy as CEO, replacing Shantanu Narayen

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    OpenAI begins rolling out Astra model after warning of its advanced cyber capabilities

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Burnham, Macron talk border security and stronger Europe-UK ties

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    NYC’s AI ban through grade 8 sets stage for rest of US, experts say

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Nepal flood victims to be identified through DNA

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    El Nino: A phenomenon supercharged by climate change

    surprise
  • cointelegraph news

    CFTC files to dismiss CME lawsuit over crypto perpetual futures

    surprise
all 174166 more
  • aljazeera news

    US Vice President JD Vance declines to offer timeline for end of Iran war

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    France records ‘hottest summer ever’ in 2026

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Trump admin targets tax-exempt status at private colleges — threatening a key tax break for donations

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Ipswich Town vs Liverpool: Premier League – prediction, team news, lineups

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Automakers urge Congress to permanently ban Chinese connected vehicles in U.S.

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    ICE agent charged with lying under oath about Minnesota shooting

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Trump-promoted Freedom Fuel expands to Detroit as lawsuit over supplier's unpaid fuel heats up

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Lululemon stock plunges 15% on disappointing earnings and outlook

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    India rejects court ruling on Indus Waters Treaty

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Ten injured in Ukraine as Kyiv expects talks with US envoys in coming days

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Carney claps back at Lutnick, says Canada will resume trade talks 'when the Americans are ready'

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Zscaler stock rises on earnings beat, upbeat guidance

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Israel kills 3 in Gaza as far-right minister plans for Palestinian removals

    surprise
  • cointelegraph news

    Here’s what happened in crypto today

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    ChargePoint CEO says 70% stock surge 'is the beginning of the momentum'

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Train crashes into truck at railway crossing in Gdansk, Poland

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Funeral held for child killed in US strike on Iranian wedding

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Leaders of Thailand and Singapore perform Beatles song, “Let It Be”

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Here's why Jim Cramer is putting Costco stock in the penalty box

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    FIFA accuses UEFA of ‘smear campaign’ over Infantino, World Cup plan

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    The big August jobs report is due out Friday. Here's what to expect for what has been a jobless summer

    surprise
  • cointelegraph news

    Mantle adds Paxos’ USDG stablecoin, joins Global Dollar Network

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Serbia welcomes return of war criminal Mladic’s body with military honours

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Options volume erupts in retail trading favorites as Robinhood, Tesla surge

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Vance says Fed should lower interest rates: 'Would be nice to have some help'

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Advocates decry US House vote to defund universities that boycott Israel

    surprise
  • cointelegraph news

    Michigan authorities continue pursuit to block Kalshi as Supreme Court fight looms

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Microsoft to impose time limits on Xbox cloud gaming subscribers as costs continue to climb

    surprise
  • cnbc news

    Piper Sandler expects Robinhood to kickstart football season with a win

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    FOMC Member Hammack Speaks

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Is Nepal leading the battle for climate justice?

    surprise
  • aljazeera news

    Four imprisoned Palestine Action activists appeal ‘terrorism’ sentences

    surprise
  • cointelegraph news

    Bitcoin reclaims $80K as DXY falls amid continuing suspected yen intervention

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    MPC Member Pill Speaks

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Natural Gas Storage

    forecast 30Bprevious 15Bsurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    ISM Services PMI

    forecast 54.2previous 54.1surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Final Services PMI

    forecast 56.8previous 56.8surprise
  • bls statement

    Major Economic Indicators Latest Numbers

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCAD

    Labor Productivity q/q

    forecast 0.7%previous -0.5%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCAD

    Trade Balance

    forecast 3.2Bprevious 3.9Bsurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    FOMC Member Waller Speaks

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q

    forecast 1.4%previous 1.4%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q

    forecast 1.3%previous 1.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Trade Balance

    forecast -89.4Bprevious -73.3Bsurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Unemployment Claims

    forecast 205Kprevious 203Ksurprise
  • fed statement

    Waller, The Economic Outlook and Some Comments on My Policy Communication

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Challenger Job Cuts y/y

    previous -46.1%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    PPI m/m

    forecast 1.2%previous -0.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    French 10-y Bond Auction

    previous 3.86|3.7surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Spanish 10-y Bond Auction

    previous 3.54|2.4surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    Final Services PMI

    forecast 52.8previous 52.8surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Final Services PMI

    forecast 51.7previous 51.7surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    German Final Services PMI

    forecast 48.5previous 48.5surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    French Final Services PMI

    forecast 48.4previous 48.4surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Italian Services PMI

    forecast 53.6previous 52.5surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Spanish Services PMI

    forecast 59.0previous 58.3surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCHF

    GDP q/q

    forecast 1.7%previous 0.7%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCHF

    CPI m/m

    forecast 0.0%previous -0.1%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    RBA Assist Gov Hunter Speaks

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    30-y Bond Auction

    previous 3.94|3.9surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCNY

    RatingDog Services PMI

    forecast 50.6previous 50.4surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    Goods Trade Balance

    forecast 1.52Bprevious 1.93Bsurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    RBA Assist Gov Jones Speaks

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseNZD

    ANZ Commodity Prices m/m

    previous -3.9%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseNZD

    Overseas Trade Index q/q

    forecast -2.1%previous -2.0%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseNZD

    RBNZ Gov Breman Speaks

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Beige Book

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactCAD

    BOC Press Conference

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Crude Oil Inventories

    forecast -0.4Mprevious 0.1Msurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Factory Orders m/m

    forecast 0.7%previous -0.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactCAD

    BOC Rate Statement

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactCAD

    Overnight Rate

    forecast 2.25%previous 2.25%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

    forecast 47Kprevious 44Ksurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Spanish Unemployment Change

    forecast 15.4Kprevious 19.5Ksurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    French Gov Budget Balance

    previous -106.8Bsurprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactNZD

    RBNZ Press Conference

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactNZD

    Official Cash Rate

    forecast 2.75%previous 2.50%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactNZD

    RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactNZD

    RBNZ Rate Statement

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactAUD

    GDP q/q

    forecast 0.3%previous 0.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Monetary Base y/y

    forecast -13.5%previous -13.8%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseNZD

    Building Consents m/m

    previous -3.6%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseNZD

    GDT Price Index

    previous 2.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAll

    G20 Meetings

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Omdia Total Vehicle Sales

    forecast 16.3Mprevious 16.3Msurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism

    forecast 46.2previous 45.1surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Construction Spending m/m

    forecast 0.0%previous -0.1%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactUSD

    ISM Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 55.2previous 55.6surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    ISM Manufacturing Prices

    forecast 70.5previous 71.1surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    JOLTS Job Openings

    forecast 7.33Mprevious 7.36Msurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    Final Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 53.3previous 53.2surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCAD

    Manufacturing PMI

    previous 53.5surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseUSD

    FOMC Member Barr Speaks

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Barr, Unlocking Opportunities for Workers and Entrepreneurs with a Criminal Record

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    German Buba President Nagel Speaks

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

    forecast 2.5%previous 2.5%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    CPI Flash Estimate y/y

    forecast 3.3%previous 2.9%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Italian Prelim CPI m/m

    forecast 0.5%previous 0.2%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Unemployment Rate

    forecast 6.3%previous 6.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate

    forecast 5.6%previous 5.7%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    Final Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 51.5previous 51.5surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    M4 Money Supply m/m

    forecast 0.9%previous 0.8%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    Mortgage Approvals

    forecast 59Kprevious 58Ksurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    Net Lending to Individuals m/m

    forecast 7.2Bprevious 9.5Bsurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Final Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 52.8previous 52.8surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    German Final Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 54.1previous 54.1surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    French Final Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 51.5previous 51.5surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Italian Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 51.4previous 51.3surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCHF

    Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 54.1previous 53.2surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Spanish Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 50.3previous 50.2surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCHF

    Retail Sales y/y

    forecast 1.6%previous 1.5%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    Commodity Prices y/y

    previous 15.4%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    German Retail Sales m/m

    forecast 0.4%previous -0.7%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    Nationwide HPI m/m

    forecast 0.1%previous 0.1%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Consumer Confidence

    forecast 35.3previous 34.9surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    10-y Bond Auction

    previous 2.84|2.6surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCNY

    RatingDog Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 51.0previous 50.9surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    Building Approvals m/m

    forecast -4.7%previous 7.2%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    Current Account

    forecast -29.7Bprevious -27.1Bsurprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Final Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 55.1previous 55.1surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Capital Spending q/y

    forecast -0.2%previous 0.0%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    BRC Shop Price Index y/y

    forecast 0.9%previous 0.9%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAll

    G20 Meetings

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    Bank Holiday

    surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    German Prelim CPI m/m

    forecast 0.3%previous 0.8%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Housing Starts y/y

    forecast 7.5%previous 18.6%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    Company Operating Profits q/q

    forecast 2.0%previous -1.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    Private Sector Credit m/m

    forecast 0.7%previous 0.8%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCNY

    Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 49.5previous 49.2surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseCNY

    Non-Manufacturing PMI

    forecast 49.5previous 49.0surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAUD

    MI Inflation Gauge m/m

    previous 1.0%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseNZD

    ANZ Business Confidence

    previous 56.1surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Prelim Industrial Production m/m

    forecast -0.7%previous 1.3%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Retail Sales y/y

    forecast 3.2%previous 0.5%surprise
  • forexfactoryreleaseAll

    G20 Meetings

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Warsh, In Our Time

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Banco Popular de Puerto Rico

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Minutes of the Board's discount rate meetings on July 20 and July 29, 2026

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by National Westminster Bank Plc

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with SouthPoint Bancshares, Inc. and announces termination of enforcement action with Deutsche Bank AG, DB USA Corporation, and Deutsche Bank AG New Yor

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Regions Bank and former employee of United Community Bank

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, July 28–29, 2026

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former employee of Regions Bank

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Cook, Outlook for the U.S. and Alaskan Economies

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board announces approval of the application by Coastal Bend Bancshares, Inc.

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board requests comment on a proposal to modernize rules for mutual banking organizations

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and The Iuka State Bank

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Regions Bank and former employee of First Interstate Bank

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Jefferson, Navigating Economic Shocks: A Monetary Policymaker’s Perspective

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Agencies issue joint statement on handling of highly sensitive information during bank examinations

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with former chief lending officer of Heritage State Bank

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Cook, Economic Outlook

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Bowman, Responsible Innovation and Financial Inclusion

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Minutes of the Board's discount rate meetings on June 8 and June 17, 2026

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Barr, Will Artificial Intelligence Broadly Raise Living Standards or Drive Income and Wealth Inequality?

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Warsh, Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Waller, Monetary Policy at a Crossroads

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Bowman, Modernizing Financial Regulation

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve announces the leadership and objectives of its task forces to advance the conduct of monetary policy

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with TS Banking Group, Inc. and TS Contrarian Bancshares, Inc.

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, June 16-17, 2026

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Bowman, Opening Remarks on Sound Practices for Artificial Intelligence

    surprise
  • fed statement

    Waller, Two Thoughts on the Transmission of Monetary Policy

    surprise

Oil surged 5.1% today, closing above $91, driven by escalating Middle East tensions and a potential Venezuela supply disruption, historically such breakouts above the $90 level tend to extend gains over the following weeks [AN1]. Escalating geopolitical risk—US strikes in Iran and controversial oil deals with Venezuela—threatens supply. A falling dollar and the recent surge in energy demand further support prices, creating a tactical breakout with room to run.

the 2 events this stands on
  • aljazeera

    Why are people calling Venezuela oil deal a new form of US colonialism?

  • aljazeera

    Funeral held for child killed in US strike on Iranian wedding

Oil's 9% weekly surge and today's +5% spike signal an overbought extreme; every time oil's rolling 5-day return exceeded 8%, it reversed over the next month [AN2]. Rapid price acceleration often exhausts buying momentum as traders lock in profits and high prices begin to dent demand. Ahead of the NFP release, any dollar strength could amplify a pullback in oil.

the 2 events this stands on
  • forexfactory

    Non-Farm Employment Change

  • forexfactory

    FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks

AN1thinfired on 9 dates

Oil surged 5.1% today, closing above $91, driven by escalating Middle East tensions and a potential Venezuela supply disruption, historically such breakouts above the $90 level tend to extend gains over the following weeks [AN1].

unsettled — this check predates the verdict

this parallel was measured before the room recorded which side proposed it, so the numbers below stand on their own.

the chart, the windows and the machine spec
oilN = 8
windownhitshit ratemedian90% ci
1w8338%−0.50%17–66%
1m8338%−2.61%17–66%

fired on · 2022-02-03 · 2022-08-17 · 2022-10-07 · 2022-11-04 · 2023-09-14 · 2026-03-06 · 2026-04-20 · 2026-07-23 · 2026-09-01

{
  "id": "AN1",
  "level": 90,
  "since": null,
  "years": null,
  "series": "oil",
  "condition": "crosses_above_level",
  "window_days": null,
  "threshold_pct": null,
  "compare_series": "oil",
  "lookback_since": "2016-01-01",
  "spread_against": null,
  "forward_windows": [
    "1w",
    "1m"
  ]
}
AN2thinfired on 41 dates

Oil's 9% weekly surge and today's +5% spike signal an overbought extreme; every time oil's rolling 5-day return exceeded 8%, it reversed over the next month [AN2].

unsettled — this check predates the verdict

this parallel was measured before the room recorded which side proposed it, so the numbers below stand on their own.

the chart, the windows and the machine spec
oilN = 41
windownhitshit ratemedian90% ci
1w412459%+1.04%46–70%
1m402255%+1.53%42–67%

fired on · 2016-01-27 · 2016-03-01 · 2016-04-08 · 2016-05-16 · 2016-08-09 · 2016-10-04 · 2016-11-21 · 2017-07-28 · 2018-04-13 · 2018-06-26 · 2019-01-07 · 2019-06-20 · 2019-09-16 · 2020-04-02 · 2020-05-14 · 2020-06-19 · 2020-09-17 · 2020-11-09 · 2021-01-11 · 2021-07-26 · 2021-08-27 · 2021-12-07 · 2022-01-18 · 2022-03-01 · 2022-04-13 · 2022-05-16 · 2022-07-19 · 2022-08-23 · 2022-10-03 · 2023-01-13 · 2023-03-31 · 2024-08-12 · 2024-09-17 · 2025-05-12 · 2025-06-11 · 2026-01-14 · 2026-03-03 · 2026-04-24 · 2026-06-03 · 2026-07-13 · 2026-08-11

{
  "id": "AN2",
  "level": null,
  "since": null,
  "years": null,
  "series": "oil",
  "condition": "rolling_return_above",
  "window_days": 5,
  "threshold_pct": 8,
  "compare_series": "oil",
  "lookback_since": "2016-01-01",
  "spread_against": null,
  "forward_windows": [
    "1w",
    "1m"
  ]
}

Fed and BOJ odds: no free source — only what the operator pastes, marked as a claim

Despite the underperformance of the thesis analogue and the failure of the antithesis analogue to predict a reversal, the machine's call leans up. Escalating Iran war tension and the controversial Venezuela oil deal threaten supply, while the dollar continues to fall, propelling today's 5.1% surge in oil to $91.48. The momentum and geopolitical tailwinds outweigh the mixed historical parallels. The thesis analogue [AN1] fired 9 times but only 3 of 8 were positive over the next week (median -0.50%), meaning the claim that breakouts above $90 tend to extend gains is not supported. The antithesis analogue [AN2] fired 41 times and showed 24 of 41 positive 1-week returns (median +1.04%) and 22 of 40 positive 1-month returns (median +1.53%), directly contradicting the claim of a reversal. Both historical arguments are thus undermined. The machine's call, therefore, relies on the current geopolitical supply shocks driving oil higher, rather than on these analogues.

the machine's call · oil up · p .60

never a position, never advice — a lean with a probability, resolved on its date

the ladder this entry laid — 22 calls, each with its own date
  • spx1dflatp .55pendingresolves 2026-09-05
  • spx1wupp .55pendingresolves 2026-09-10
  • spx1mupp .55pendingresolves 2026-10-03
  • nasdaq1dupp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-05
  • nasdaq1wupp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-10
  • nasdaq1mupp .60pendingresolves 2026-10-03
  • btc1dupp .55pendingresolves 2026-09-05
  • btc1wupp .55pendingresolves 2026-09-10
  • btc1mupp .55pendingresolves 2026-10-03
  • dxy1ddownp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-05
  • dxy1wdownp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-10
  • dxy1mdownp .60pendingresolves 2026-10-03
  • us10y1dflatp .55pendingresolves 2026-09-05
  • us10y1wupp .55pendingresolves 2026-09-10
  • us10y1mupp .55pendingresolves 2026-10-03
  • gold1ddownp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-05
  • gold1wdownp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-10
  • gold1mdownp .60pendingresolves 2026-10-03
  • oil1dupp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-05
  • oil1wupp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-10
  • oil1mupp .60pendingresolves 2026-10-03
  • oilclaimupp .60pendingresolves 2026-09-30

    Oil will close above $95 by September 30, 2026.

nothing was written about what is coming — this day is on record and not yet narrated. these are the dated things the calendar reached, in the order they arrive.

  • forexfactoryreleaseJPY

    Household Spending y/y

    forecast -1.6%previous -3.3%no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    German Factory Orders m/m

    forecast 0.3%previous 3.1%no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Italian Retail Sales m/m

    forecast 0.2%previous -0.1%no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleaseGBP

    Construction PMI

    forecast 45.8previous 44.7no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactGBP

    BOE Gov Bailey Speaks

    no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleaseEUR

    Retail Sales m/m

    forecast 0.3%previous -0.3%no result yet
all 126 more
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactCAD

    Employment Change

    forecast 15.1Kprevious 75.1Kno result yet
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactCAD

    Unemployment Rate

    forecast 6.4%previous 6.4%no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactUSD

    Average Hourly Earnings m/m

    forecast 0.3%previous 0.1%no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactUSD

    Non-Farm Employment Change

    forecast 55Kprevious -23Kno result yet
  • forexfactoryreleasehigh impactUSD

    Unemployment Rate

    forecast 4.1%previous 4.1%no result yet
  • forexfactoryreleaseCAD

    Ivey PMI

    forecast 56.2previous 55.1no result yet