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PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

ExxonMobil $167.74 +1.8%

stock · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

ExxonMobil closed at $167.74 (+1.8% on the day). Over the last month it is +9.31%, over the last year +60.68%. It sits 0.88% below the 52-week high of $169.22 (52-week low $104.39).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $164.77 → $167.74 (+1.8% since v4)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · $164.77 → $167.74 (+1.8% since v4)
02Technicals

ExxonMobil closed at $167.74 (+1.8% on the day). Over the last month it is +9.31%, over the last year +60.68%. It sits 0.88% below the 52-week high of $169.22 (52-week low $104.39).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($140.48) and above the 50-day ($147.84) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.06, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 23.65% annualized, the 54th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $135.18 – $167.74; the most-touched level is $147.05 (24 touches).

1W
+6.44%
1M
+9.31%
1Y
+60.68%
FROM 52W HIGH
-0.88%
03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 6.66% over the last month (+39.35% over the year); 90-day beta -1.02, correlation -0.46.

1M VS S&P 500
+6.66%
1Y RELATIVE
+39.35%
BETA 90D
-1.02
CORR 90D
-0.46
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 20.11% (2026-03-30 → 2026-06-29); price now sits 0.88% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -5.23% (2026-04-01).

MAX DD 1Y
-20.11%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-0.88%
BEST DAY
+4.41%
WORST DAY
-5.23%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2021-12-31): revenue $276.69B (+54.95% YoY), net income $28.84B (10.42% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 25.04. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-03-31, filed 2026-05-04 (108 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-02-17 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$276.69B
REVENUE YOY
+54.95%
NET INCOME
$28.84B
NET MARGIN
10.42%
EPS (DILUTED)
$6.7
TRAILING P/E
25.04

latest 10-Q · period 2026-03-31 · filed 2026-05-04 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-02-17

06Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 53% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 2.56 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 0.88% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+9.31%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+60.68%).

Trading within 0.88% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $140.48.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 54th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +6.66%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 108 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data