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how the read evolved · 5 versions · 2026-08-132026-08-19
REPORT · NASDAQ v5
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-19
CURRENT

Nasdaq Composite 26331.09 +0.16%

index · data as of 2026-08-19 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

Nasdaq Composite closed at 26331.09 (+0.16% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.91%, over the last year +21.74%. It sits 2.82% below the 52-week high of 27093.9 (52-week low 20794.64).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — 26289.71 → 26331.09 (+0.16% since v4)2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · 26289.71 → 26331.09 (+0.16% since v4)
02Technicals

Nasdaq Composite closed at 26331.09 (+0.16% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.91%, over the last year +21.74%. It sits 2.82% below the 52-week high of 27093.9 (52-week low 20794.64).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (24218.4) and above the 50-day (25922.53) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.2, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 19.45% annualized, the 56th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range 22902.89 – 27093.9; the most-touched level is 26250.96 (41 touches).

1W
-0.97%
1M
+1.91%
1Y
+21.74%
FROM 52W HIGH
-2.82%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 13.21% (2025-10-29 → 2026-03-30); price now sits 2.82% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -4.18% (2026-06-05).

MAX DD 1Y
-13.21%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-2.82%
BEST DAY
+3.83%
WORST DAY
-4.18%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 53% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.67 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 2.82% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+1.91%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+21.74%).

Trading within 2.82% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 24218.4.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 56th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
26331.09+0.16%CONSTRUCTIVE