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how the read evolved · 5 versions · 2026-08-142026-08-20
REPORT · JNJ v5
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

Johnson & Johnson $267.37 -2.21%

stock · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

Johnson & Johnson closed at $267.37 (-2.21% on the day). Over the last month it is +4.59%, over the last year +54.13%. It sits 2.21% below the 52-week high of $273.41 (52-week low $171.16).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $273.41 → $267.37 (-2.21% since v4)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · $273.41 → $267.37 (-2.21% since v4)
  • · volatility regime normal → loud (85th pct)
02Technicals

Johnson & Johnson closed at $267.37 (-2.21% on the day). Over the last month it is +4.59%, over the last year +54.13%. It sits 2.21% below the 52-week high of $273.41 (52-week low $171.16).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($229.98) and above the 50-day ($254.19) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.77, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 22.82% annualized, the 85th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $220.05 – $273.41; the most-touched level is $224.88 (26 touches).

1W
+2.02%
1M
+4.59%
1Y
+54.13%
FROM 52W HIGH
-2.21%
03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 2.69% over the last month (+34.95% over the year); 90-day beta -0.51, correlation -0.27.

1M VS S&P 500
+2.69%
1Y RELATIVE
+34.95%
BETA 90D
-0.51
CORR 90D
-0.27
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 10.96% (2026-03-02 → 2026-05-08); price now sits 2.21% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -3.66% (2026-07-30).

MAX DD 1Y
-10.96%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-2.21%
BEST DAY
+3.99%
WORST DAY
-3.66%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-28): revenue $94.19B (+6.05% YoY), net income $26.8B (28.46% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 24.24. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-28, filed 2026-07-23 (28 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-02-11 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$94.19B
REVENUE YOY
+6.05%
NET INCOME
$26.8B
NET MARGIN
28.46%
EPS (DILUTED)
$11.03
TRAILING P/E
24.24

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-28 · filed 2026-07-23 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-02-11

06Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 53% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.59 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 2.21% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+4.59%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+54.13%).

Trading within 2.21% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $229.98.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 85th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +2.69%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 28 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$267.37-2.21%CONSTRUCTIVE