Gold $4,514 +0.38%
Gold closed at $4,514 (+0.38% on the day). Over the last month it is +10.08%, over the last year +5.34%. It sits 20.12% below the 52-week high of $5,651 (52-week low $3,945).
Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.
- · $4,497 → $4,514 (+0.38% since v6)
- · short-horizon behavior no clear_bias → mean reverting
Gold closed at $4,514 (+0.38% on the day). Over the last month it is +10.08%, over the last year +5.34%. It sits 20.12% below the 52-week high of $5,651 (52-week low $3,945).
Note: priced via PAXG (tokenized gold), which tracks spot closely.
Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($4,548) and above the 50-day ($4,169) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.07, direction up.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 22.84% annualized, the 64th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans mean reverting.
Structure (90 days): range $3,945 – $4,585; the most-touched level is $4,029 (29 touches).
Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 28.07% (2026-01-28 → 2026-07-16); price now sits 18.54% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -10.13% (2026-01-30).
The tape leans constructive: 49% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior mean reverting.
Positioning: 1.7 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 20.12% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.
The 1-month move (+10.08%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+5.34%).
Trading 20.12% below the 52-week high.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
- · Gold Price Hits Two-Month High After Mostly Stagnant Summer — Forbes · 30h ago
- · Gold price headed 10 times higher, and that is "inevitable," Thomas Kaplan says — KITCO · 8h ago
- · Morgan Stanley is out with its gold price outlook for 2027 — Investing.com · 13h ago
- · Bessent's Treasury Move Sinks Yields, Fuels Gold Mining Stocks — Investor's Business Daily · 32h ago
- · Gold Leaps $100 on US Treasury Bond Buybacks News — BullionVault · 34h ago
- · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $4,548.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 64th percentile).
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data