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how the read evolved · 7 versions · 2026-08-142026-08-20
REPORT · ETH v7
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 7
v7 · 2026-08-20
CURRENT

Ethereum $2,327 +3.29%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-20 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

Ethereum closed at $2,327 (+3.29% on the day). Over the last month it is +21.3%, over the last year -28.13%. It sits 31.62% below the 52-week high of $3,403 (52-week low $1,506).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $2,253 → $2,327 (+3.29% since v6)3 invalidation conditions stated — section 08
01What changed — v7 vs v6
  • · $2,253 → $2,327 (+3.29% since v6)
02Technicals

Ethereum closed at $2,327 (+3.29% on the day). Over the last month it is +21.3%, over the last year -28.13%. It sits 31.62% below the 52-week high of $3,403 (52-week low $1,506).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($2,005) and above the 50-day ($1,879) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.07, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 52.51% annualized, the 69th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $1,506 – $2,360; the most-touched level is $1,867 (19 touches).

1W
+23.59%
1M
+21.3%
1Y
-28.13%
FROM 52W HIGH
-31.62%
03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the Bitcoin by 8.57% over the last month (-7.06% over the year); 90-day beta 1.36, correlation 0.88.

1M VS BITCOIN
+8.57%
1Y RELATIVE
-7.06%
BETA 90D
1.36
CORR 90D
0.88
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 53.27% (2026-01-14 → 2026-06-25); price now sits 30.64% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.96% (2026-02-05).

MAX DD 1Y
-53.27%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-30.64%
BEST DAY
+17.46%
WORST DAY
-14.96%
05Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 51% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 3.3 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 53.06% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 72 (Greed), 7-day average 46.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

06Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+21.3%) runs against the 1-year trend (-28.13%).

Trading 31.62% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

07In the air — headlines, not causes
08What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $2,005.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 69th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the Bitcoin (now +8.57%) changes sign.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$2,327+3.29%CONSTRUCTIVE